Analysis of the impact of agriculture goods dumping in Iraq using ARDL methodology

The research highlights the need to develop effective protectionist economic policies to mitigate the negative effects of dumping, stimulate local production, and enhance food security. By addressing the dumping problem through policy interventions, Iraq can work to revive its agricultural sector, reduce dependence on imports, and promote sustainable economic growth. This research aims to study the impact of dumping on the agricultural sector in Iraq, by analyzing the relationship between agricultural output and both agricultural goods imports and food imports for the period from 2000 to 2020. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) methodology was used to analyze annual data and determine the short- and long-term effects of imports on agricultural output. The results showed a statistically significant long-term impact of food imports on agricultural goods, indicating that an increase in food imports is associated with an increase in agricultural goods. While agricultural imports did not show a statistically significant impact on agricultural goods. These results indicate that import dumping, especially in food products, contributed to the weakening of the ability of local agricultural producers to compete, leading to foreign monopoly in the market and a decline in local production.